Friday, August 28, 2009

Danny Shmanny!


Here's a quickie...

Just to give you an idea of the lack of convection associated with Danny's center right now, take a look at this satellite image and compare the thunderstorms in Tampa today to the lack there of surrounding the center of Danny. Sure there are 40mph sustained winds NE of the tropical storm's center, but that is about it. We had heavier rain and lightning here today than the area under Danny's center.

A more important thing to notice is the convection firing along the southeast Georgia and South Carolina coast and into their coastal waters. It is THIS setup that will allow Danny to strengthen and spread a little wind and rain as it moves up the east coast. That is a "baroclinic" development and not a typical "tropical cycle" development. Those storms near the coast are developing well outside of the storms center and are a result of the wind flow, an existing trough and airmass collisions that are taking place on Danny's western side. For Danny to strengthen tropically, you would see thunderstorms develop over the center.
Just think "nor'easter" as this ruins one of your days at the beach this weekend...if you consider that ruining it!

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